“Black Swan has three attributes: unpredictability, consequences, retrospective explainability.”
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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“Remember that you are a Black Swan.”
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“Destiny is a name often given in retrospect to choices that had dramatic consequences.”
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“His own image; no longer a dark, gray bird, ugly and disagreeable to look at, but a graceful and beautiful swan. To be born in a duck's nest, in a farmyard, is of no consequence to a bird, if it is hatched from a swan's egg.”
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“Whenever explaining an event, we must choose from three competing modes of explanation. These are regularity, chance, and design... To attribute an event to design is to say that it cannot reasonably be referred to either regularity or chance.”
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“Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”
Robert J. Hanlon